Shepparton will end November with 39.4mm of rain in the gauge, which is right on the mean rainfall during the past 30 years.
Spring rainfall in total was 134mm, 20 per cent more than the mean on 113mm, recorded since the Shepparton Airport weather station opened in 1996.
The mean spring rainfall during the past 80 years is 128mm.
December to February rainfall is likely to be above the median in the north of Australia and parts of western Victoria, but despite the declaration of a La Niña weather event, the chance of exceeding the median is close to 50 per cent in the Goulburn Valley.
December rainfall is expected to be similar to the summer rainfall pattern, and is likely to be above median across Victoria.
The start of December is likely to be drier than the median for most of the country.
The Bureau of Meteorology expects an increased chance of unusually high maximum temperatures (in the top 20 per cent of historical records) for December to February for Victoria.
The chance of extremely hot days is 1.5 to three times the usual chance.
In any given outlook period, the chance of unusually high or low maximum temperatures is about 20 per cent. This means that a 40 per cent chance of unusually warm conditions is twice the normal likelihood, while 60 per cent is three times the normal likelihood.
Spring rainfall and relatively mild temperatures have allowed major storages to recover, with Lake Eildon — the main Goulburn River storage — sitting at 87.14 per cent capacity heading into summer when irrigation demand peaks.
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